Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.456052 0.531325 0.614798 0.714182 0.829257 0.958281 1.113910
2025-02-16 0.331723 0.432090 0.555884 0.719605 0.930296 1.192199 1.542474
2025-02-23 0.262848 0.370770 0.514361 0.718979 1.002729 1.382038 1.927512
2025-03-02 0.215436 0.324366 0.478550 0.712040 1.056095 1.543902 2.287777
2025-03-09 0.182875 0.291368 0.453388 0.711992 1.113536 1.712419 2.672858
2025-03-16 0.152092 0.255046 0.416420 0.686500 1.126090 1.812203 2.963352
2025-03-23 0.142114 0.249487 0.425230 0.732075 1.252910 2.099352 3.577591
2025-03-30 0.121919 0.223565 0.396911 0.711972 1.268422 2.207943 3.912011
2025-04-06 0.104662 0.199965 0.368901 0.687758 1.272304 2.295204 4.217376
2025-04-13 0.090624 0.180012 0.344368 0.665845 1.276291 2.381122 4.527593
2025-04-20 0.082414 0.169782 0.336024 0.672222 1.331937 2.564044 5.033251
2025-04-27 0.078663 0.167692 0.342618 0.707594 1.446101 2.866395 5.796294
2025-05-04 0.073050 0.161267 0.340371 0.726161 1.531576 3.127441 6.517793
2025-05-11 0.067011 0.153127 0.333703 0.735056 1.599119 3.362060 7.216986
2025-05-18 0.060886 0.143856 0.323354 0.734585 1.646566 3.560522 7.863540
2025-05-25 0.054975 0.134175 0.310796 0.727507 1.678586 3.729848 8.467098
2025-06-01 0.050288 0.126641 0.301956 0.727458 1.725798 3.936164 9.174047
2025-06-08 0.044383 0.115305 0.282948 0.701424 1.710544 4.003536 9.577528
2025-06-15 0.043679 0.116731 0.294016 0.747969 1.870116 4.480480 10.973795
2025-06-22 0.039081 0.107561 0.278363 0.727438 1.866456 4.581307 11.497567
2025-06-29 0.034783 0.098543 0.261905 0.702709 1.849294 4.648038 11.946358
2025-07-06 0.031087 0.090597 0.247126 0.680329 1.835182 4.720243 12.416455
2025-07-13 0.029100 0.087105 0.243508 0.686842 1.896420 4.984944 13.401981